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When
to Stop Trading - Part III
By Brett N. Steenbarger, Ph.D.
In the
first article in this series, I suggested that profitability
results as much from knowing when not to trade as when to initiate
positions. That article explored the relationship between volume
and volatility, concluding that successful trading might require
traders to stand aside when markets offer insufficient movement and
opportunity.
The
second article examined reasons to stop trading that are
internal to the trader, emphasizing the need for warning and drop
dead levels to limit daily losses and preserve overall
profitability. Even when opportunity is present, sometimes traders
are not in a mindset where they can exploit their edge. This is
often due to emotional arousal--fear, frustration, or
excitement--that interferes with concentration and judgment. In
this final installment, I will summarize a few of the practical
steps traders can take to profitably re-enter the game after they
have stopped trading for emotional reasons.
Emotional Arousal and the Brain
Cognitive neuroscientist Elkhonon Goldberg, in his excellent
book "The Executive Brain", details the role of the frontal lobes in
such executive functions as planning, judging, analyzing, and
reasoning. To no small degree, our frontal lobes are the
instruments of our rationality. Patients who suffer from damage to
their frontal lobes, either through accidents or the effects of
dementias, invariably suffer from a loss of self-control,
deficiencies in reasoning, and/or difficulties in planning and
executing sequences of action. When we are engaged in those
executive functions, our frontal lobes stand out in functional
magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) due to enhanced regional cerebral
blood flow. Conversely, when we are stressed, blood flow shifts to
other, more evolutionarily primitive cerebral regions, such as the
amygdala. If it feels as though we are not in our right minds when
we are stressed out, that may be because we are no longer activating
the brain regions responsible for our executive functions. Little
wonder that we say or do things that we regret when we are unusually
angry!
That, of course, poses particular challenges for
traders. Initiating and monitoring trades, scaling in and out of
them, and eventually exiting positions require concentration and
keen judgment. Under emotional conditions of boredom, fear, or
frustration, we find ourselves activating precisely those "flight or
fight" sequences that might facilitate rapid action, but surely not
calm reflection. Traders I work with intuitively recognize this
when they tell me that they need to take a break from trading and
"calm down". They realize that, under conditions of emotional and
physiological arousal, they are unlikely to sustain the
concentration and clear-headed judgment needed for superior
decision-making.
Conversely, most traders have experienced that
sense of being "in the zone" where they feel as though they are at
one with the markets, making decisions accurately and effortlessly.
This state of "flow", described in detail by psychological
researcher Mihalyi Csikszentmihalyi, results from prolonged
activation of the frontal lobes. Because such activation requires
sustained cognitive effort, most of us enter the zone only
occasionally, cycling in and out of states of greater and lesser
arousal and frontal activation.
When traders take a break from trading after a
particularly frustrating market sequence, they generally attempt to
relax and take their mind away from trading. Some close their eyes
and listen to quiet music, others talk with friends, and still
others go to the gym and work out. All of these can be useful
courses of action in that they interrupt mind states that are not
conducive to trading. Decreasing arousal, however, is not the same
thing as activating executive functions. Simply relaxing or
diverting attention will not bring traders closer to "the zone".
For this, a different kind of activity is needed when taking trading
breaks.
Activating the Executive Brain
Several years ago, realizing that I could neither afford nor
regularly access an fMRI unit, I obtained a biofeedback unit that
several innovative psychologists were using to treat attention
deficit disorder. Unlike most biofeedback devices, which measure
the body's level of arousal, this unit measured forehead skin
temperature. The idea was that, under conditions of frontal
activation, the enhanced regional cerebral blood flow would be
reflected in higher skin forehead temperatures. When the brain's
executive functions were not under recruitment, the blood flow would
withdraw from the frontal cortex and result in lower temperatures.
Several hours of trials, in which I engaged in a variety of
intellectual, social, and emotional activities, convinced me that
the device's rationale was sound. It also convinced me that I could
enter the zone at will if I were willing to sustain the cognitive
effort needed to maintain my forehead temperature above a threshold
level.
What I have found using the device is that
relaxation alone does not result in higher forehead temperatures,
because relaxation does not actively engage such cognitive functions
as attention, concentration, and reasoning. Indeed, we generally
soften our cognitive focus in order to relax. The state that most
reliably produced the high biofeedback readings and feeling of the
zone was one of relaxed but intent concentration. I tried many
different exercises at home to consistently produce this state, and
the one that worked best (and has since worked well for others) was
as follows:
You sit in front of the television, tuned to
CNBC, with the volume off. Your sitting position is very still, and
you're breathing deeply, slowly, and rhythmically. While doing
that, you intently watch the ticker on the CNBC screen and the
numbers that accompany each stock symbol. Your task is to keep a
running sum of the last digit of these numbers. This is easily done
when the numbers are small, but as the cumulative sum increases and
natural fatigue and boredom set in, it takes ever-greater mental
effort to keep the sum running. While initiating and sustaining
that effort, your skin forehead temperature steadily rises and then
plateaus. After 15-30 minutes of this, you find yourself in a
different "zone", much more clear-headed and calm than when you
started. Another variation that has worked for me involves counting
backward by sevens from a very large starting number.
This technique works for several reasons:
-
The
physical stillness and rhythmical breathing facilitate a state
that is incompatible with emotional arousal;
-
The
cognitive focus on emotionally neutral stimuli (such as number
sequences) interrupts the flow of frustrating events;
-
The
sustained concentration allows access to new cognitive and
emotional states.
My experience is that thinking is clearer and
more intuitive after this exercise than it is normally--and much
better than when we are emotionally charged. It is possible that
this is merely a placebo effect: we expect to become calmer and more
focused, so that is how we experience ourselves. Thus far, however,
my trading results--and those of traders I've worked with--also
support my experience. The key is sustaining concentration
beyond the normal threshold of boredom. If you keep counting
the numbers even after antsiness has set in, eventually you get to a
quiet, focused point where the counting becomes near effortless and
your perception is very clear. And, if you perform the exercise
routinely, you can access that zone with increasing ease.
My Latest Experiments
Most recently, I've been using sensory isolation tanks to push
the limits of sustaining concentration in an emotionally neutral
environment. For this exercise, you float in water that is filled
with epsom salts and heated to exact body temperature. During the
float, you are enclosed in a soundproof and lightproof tank. You
hear and see nothing, and you feel very little, because your body's
surroundings match the condition of your body. The task is to
sustain concentration in the absence of all external stimuli. This
requires a complete stilling of our normal internal dialogue--a task
very reminiscent of Zen meditation.
What happens after an hour or more of isolation
is that the mind and body adapt to the changed environment. Once
again, this requires a willingness to stay in the tank, focused,
beyond the normal boredom threshold. My experience is that you know
you have adapted to the environment once you no longer feel a need
to move or leave the tank. Although I am not hooked up to the
biofeedback machine during my time in the tank, I strongly suspect
that my skin forehead temperatures are quite high, as I sustain
active, directed awareness during my time of isolation. By the time
you leave the tank, the world looks and sounds different, as you are
now no longer adjusted to the world's colors and volumes. The
clarity of perception and thought that are characteristic of the
biofeedback work are even stronger following immersion in the
tank.
Although work with meditation, isolation tanks,
and biofeedback is often couched in esoteric terms, there is nothing
mystical about them at all. By controlling our environment and
cognitive activities, we can access states of mind that are
associated with executive functioning and deactivate brain regions
that are associated with impulsivity. Elkhonon Goldberg foresees
the day when all of us will participate in gymnasiums of the brain,
just as we join health clubs to attend to our bodies' health.
Traders might be the first in line to benefit from his vision.

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Brett N. Steenbarger, Ph.D. is a clinical
psychologist and active trader, writer, and
researcher for the past 20 years, Brett is the
author of The Psychology of Trading (Wiley;
2003) and numerous articles on trading psychology
for print and online financial publications.
Click here for full
bio >>
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